WEMO24-Compiled Report-Interactive compressed (002) 4154-7882-8116 v.1 - Flipbook - Page 73
Which net zero
pathway are we on?
What we are seeing
Key data
By 2050, the world’s population will grow to nearly 10 billion
and the average GDP per capita will increase nearly 150%.
FIGURE 1
The upward pressures of population and GDP growth outwiegh the downward pressures of energy
and carbon intensity on emissions
Population, world
billion persons
6
GDP per capita, world
2015 PPP dollars per person
Energy intensity, world
thousand Btu per 2015 PPP
dollars of GDP
Energy relates carbon
intensity, world
metric ton CO₂ per billion Btu
$40,000
6
60
5
50
4
40
3
30
2
20
1
10
5
Ref
$30,000
4
$20,000
3
2
$10,000
1
0
2020
$0
2030
2040
2050
2020
0
2030
2040
2050
2020
0
2030
2040
2050
2020
2030
2040
Data Source: U.S. energy information administration, international energy outlook 2023 (IEO2023)
Note: Shaded regions represent maximum and minimum values for each projection year across the IEO2023 reference case and side cases.
Our global population assumptions do not vary across side cases. GDP=gross domestic product; PPP=purchasing power parity; Btu=British thermal units;
Ref=Reference case.
Source: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/ieo/
2050
WEMO 2024
The result will be a net increase in energy demand, even with
partial efficiency offsets. This compounds the challenges we
face with reducing global emissions.
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